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基于贝叶斯更新的整体加筋壁板裂纹扩展寿命动态预测方法
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V216

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航空科学基金(2020Z009003002)


A Method of Dynamically Predicting Crack Propagation Life of Integrally on Stiffened Panels Based on Bayesian Updating
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    摘要:

    以整体加筋壁板的孔边、R区等疲劳危险区域为研究对象开展裂纹扩展研究,提出一种裂纹扩展跨边界区域仿真计算的处理方法,以及一种基于贝叶斯更新的裂纹扩展寿命动态预测方法。基于Pairs裂纹扩展速率模型,结合Abaqus/Zencrack对等比例加筋壁板有限元模型进行联合仿真,将仿真计算结果与试验数据输入样本数据集,利用神经网络构建疲劳裂纹扩展参数库;采用动态贝叶斯网络进行推断,构建适用于加筋壁板的疲劳裂纹扩展寿命预测模型;开展等幅谱加载下整体加筋壁板结构的裂纹扩展试验分析。结果表明:所提出的裂纹扩展跨边界区域仿真计算处理方法有效保障了仿真数据的连续性,基于贝叶斯更新的裂纹扩展寿命动态预测方法能够有效修正仿真数据相较于试验数据的偏差,生成更接近真实裂纹扩展行为的预测结果。

    Abstract:

    In this paper focuses on crack propagation research in fatigue-critical regions such as hole edges and R-zones at stiffened panels. A simulation-based processing method for crack propagation across boundary regions is proposed, along with a Bayesian-updating-based dynamic fatigue crack propagation life prediction method. Based on the Pairs crack propagation rate model in combination with Abaqus/Zencrack, a finite element model of a scaled stiffened panel is simulated. The simulation results and the experimental data are input into a sample dataset, and a neural network is used to build a fatigue crack propagation parameter database. Dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) inference is adopted to construct a fatigue crack propagation life prediction model suitable for stiffened panels. Fatigue crack propagation experiments are made on the stiffened panel structure under condition of constant amplitude loading are also conducted. The results show that the proposed simulation processing method for crack propagation across boundar regions is enabled to effectively ensure the continuity of simulation data. The Bayesian-updating-based dynamic fatigue crack propagation life prediction method can effectively correct deviations between the simulation data and the experimental data, generating predictions still more close to the actual crack propagation behavior.

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张力文, 宁宇, 张彦军, 赵天娇.基于贝叶斯更新的整体加筋壁板裂纹扩展寿命动态预测方法[J].空军工程大学学报,2025,26(3):52-61

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-04
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