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基于后悔理论和多准则联合的空中目标威胁评估模型
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TP18;E919

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国家自然科学基金(72071209)


Air Target Threat Assessment Model Based on Regret Theory and Joint Multi-Criteria
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    摘要:

    针对目前空中目标威胁评估方法存在的不足,提出一种基于后悔理论和多准则联合的空中目标威胁 评估模型。首先从个体威胁、个体价值及威胁紧迫性3个方面构建评估指标体系,引入皮尔逊相关指数对熵 权法进行改进得到各指标的客观权重;之后建立基于后悔理论改进三支决策方法的威胁评估模型;最后基于 不同评估准则构建多玩家博弈模型,求解纳什均衡进而得到目标的威胁分类及排序结果。仿真结果表明,所提方法能够根据指挥员决策的偏好提供定制的分类和威胁排序结果,验证了方法的有效性。

    Abstract:

    In view of the problem that deficiencies exist in current air target threat assessment methods, an air target threat assessment model based on regret theory and multi-criteria is proposed. Firstly, an assessment index system is constructed by individual threat, individual value and threat urgency, and the entropy weight method is improved by introducing Pearson's correlation index to get the objective weights of the indexes. And then, a threat assessment model based on the three-way decision methods improved by the regret theory is established. Finally, a multi-player game model is constructed based on the different assessment criteria, and the Nash equilibrium is solved to get the target's threat categorization and ordering results. The simulation results show that the proposed method enables commanders to obtain the customized classification and the threat ranking results according to their decision-making preference, and the method is valid.

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曹 波, 邢清华, 武钊隆,李龙跃.基于后悔理论和多准则联合的空中目标威胁评估模型[J].空军工程大学学报,2026,27(1):78-86

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-02-06
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